Pivot Wider

Go beyond single stats and see the whole story behind every bet.

Most analytics platforms show you data in a vacuum—a quarterback's average passing yards, a team's points per game, a pitcher's ERA. These numbers lack the context needed to make a truly smart decision.

The Pivot Wider™ model changes that. We built it to do exactly what its name implies: to take all the isolated, individual data points and spread them out "wider." This connects every variable, transforming a confusing list of stats into a clear, complete picture. With Pivot Wider™, you don't just see a single stat; you see the entire story behind it.

This isn't an off-the-shelf algorithm. Pivot Wider is our proprietary model, built from the ground up right here at Pivot Bets. It's the engine that powers every insight on our platform, born from a deep respect for data and a genuine love for the game.

What the Pivot Wider™ model gives you:

Deeper Context: Understand why a player performs well in certain situations (like against a specific defense or in bad weather), not just their season average.

A Hidden Edge: Uncover unique betting opportunities that surface-level statistics and traditional analysis completely miss.

Total Confidence: Make your picks knowing they are backed by a comprehensive, multi-faceted view of every game.

Why Use Pivot Wider?

NFL

• 68.5% accuracy on NFL games (2024 season)

• 3% ROI on moneyline wagers

• 17.1% ROI against the spread

• Log Loss of 0.6055

• Brier Score of 0.2089 (compared to Vegas' 0.2095)

College Football

• 71.72% accuracy on CFB games (2024 season)

• 6% ROI on recommended* moneyline wagers

• Log Loss of 0.5428

• Brier Score of 0.1829 (compared to Vegas' 0.1830)

Need Proof?

Check out the historical data available on Google Sheets, spanning the 2022 through 2024 seasons. This includes grades, odds, probabilities, and more!