Expanding Pivot Bets into NBA

Basketball is one of the most popular sports in the world, with the NBA being the premier league. I've spent a while trying to accurately capture and build a prediction model for the NBA. It's taken several different models and over a year and a half to fully build iteratively. The newest model and the one that will be providing predictions is a culmination of previous NBA models and newer tactics that I've used for the current NFL and College Football models. Some of the newer tactics and methodologies I've put into this model including Vegas' odds and figures into my own. This has yielded the best results from my models as possible!

Backtesting the newest NBA model yields about 68% accuracy in predicting the winner across the 2023-2024 seasons. Further, the model's moneyline ROI is about 3% across the same timeframe. Not only is the model accurate, but it's also net-positive.

Today's NBA Picks

Suns @ Nuggets

Pivot Bets is predicting the Nuggets to beat the Suns by High-Scoring Nail-biter 124-110. Here's the betting lines:

• Nuggets moneyline (-750 Odds, 82% win probability)

• Suns to cover (+13.5 spread, -112 odds, 51% cover prob)

• Under 234.5 (-115 odds, 51% under prob)

Pacers @ Grizzlies

Pivot Bets is predicting the Pacers to beat the Grizzlies in a High-Scoring Nail-biter 121 to 118. Here's the betting lines:

• Pacers moneyline (-140 Odds, 57% win probability)

• Pacers to cover (-2.5 spread, +100 odds, 51% cover prob)

• Under 237.5 (-108 odds, 52% under prob)

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